After opening at 3-1, Kyle Busch is the 3-2 favorite for NASCAR in Watkins Glen 2018, which conducts Sunday at 3 p.m. ET. It is the second road course race of the year and Denny Hamlin, listed at 10-1 NASCAR in Watkins Glen odds, won the pole Saturday. Busch leads all active drivers with four road wins, including two at Watkins Glen, but his last win in The Glen was back in 2013. Martin Truex Jr. won GoBowling in The Glen last year and is listed at 4-1 odds. Prior to making any 2018 NASCAR at Watkins Glen choices, you want to find out exactly what SportsLine’s advanced computer model must say.
The model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has an established track record in multiple sports. It also powers McClure’s DFS projections, that have led him to over $1 million in career winnings.
McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big racing events in this way are in his blood, and his version has been crushing its 2018 NASCAR picks.
The model has already made several huge calls this season, nailing the 1-2 finish for Busch and Harvick in the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 also as Harvick’s win at the KC Masterpiece 400. In addition, it nailed five of the top 10 in Bristol and a couple of the top five in Daytona, just to mention a couple. Anybody following its selections this season is way, way up.
Now that the 2018 NASCAR at Watkins Glen field is secured, SportsLine simulated the occasion 10,000 times and the results were so surprising.
1 surprising pick from the model for GoBowling at The Glen 2018: Chase Elliott, getting the third-best NASCAR in Watkins Glen chances to triumph at 6-1, doesn’t sniff the top 10. He is a driver to avoid on Sunday despite his leading beginning place of third.
Elliott remains in search of his initial career Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series triumph. He’s cracked the top 10 in four of the last seven starts, but was just 19th at Chicago and 34th in Daytona last month. Last year at Watkins Glen, Elliott again began near the top in fourth, but finished a disappointing 13th. He clocked the fastest rate (124.520 miles ) at the last practices for GoBowling in The Glen 2018, but the model says he’s a favorite to fade.
Another shocker: Truex Jr., getting the second-best odds at 4-1, does not even finish in the top five.
He has had plenty of success on road tracks, including winning last year. But he is a risky choice at these chances because he’s got an average finish position of 12th at Watkins Glen in his career, and it has completed 10th or worse in three of the past six races . There are better values out there in this loaded Go Bowling in The Glen area.
Instead, the model is targeting two enormous underdogs with chances longer than 30-1 who are poised to make a serious run at the checkered flag, including a monster long shot. Anyone who bets on these underdogs could strike it rich.