View the MMABETMACHINE Stakes for UFC ESPN3 below:
Mike Perry Free Breakdown
Perry brings big power on the toes and a durable way to adopt brawls. He can be outmanoeuvred by specialized boxers but against the likes of Ponzinibbio, a top competitive striker for the branch, he was very competitive. Perry is strong in the clinch but his takedown defense is still unproven against a legitimate grappler. Cowboy could harness the floor game as he has underrated wrestling, but he tends to fight with inconsistent gameplans. Getting sucked into brawls is a common issue and here against Perry that might be a significant mistake. He has big electricity himself but both guys are very hittable. On the feet it probably favours Perry, at least for the first half of the fight when he is most dangerous. Look for a back and forth war, with the durability of Perry which makes the difference — as both men consume deep damage.Andrei Arlovski Breakdown
Arlovski is on a three fight losing streak but has been competitive in all fights going back to his KO loss to Ngannou. In 40 years old he brings a much less aggressive style these days which has lead to six consecutive choices. His output seems to be slowing but his exact boxing fashion stays, permitting him to function behind a jab against slower competitions. Sakai is considerably younger so could be improving, but so far has failed to impress. He’s large and yells powerful yet slow singular strikes, with low volume. Mostly a boxer, Arlovski won’t need to worry about too many different weapons.
This is likely to be a slow fight with the effective striker coming out on top. Start looking for Arlovski to avoid exchanges and poke Sakai from the outside or use his wrestling to hold him against the weapon. If he can avoid getting caught a decision here is likely for the underdog.
Bet = Arlovski at 2.30 (+130) chances. Risk 3 Units to win 3.90 Units.
Virna Jandiroba Breakdown
Jandiroba is a severe BJJ blackbelt making her UFC debut with a 14-0 record. She has jiu-jitsu wins over both Claudia Gadelha and Amanda Nunes. Whilst restricted with striking, she’s relentless with takedowns and has a wide variety of techniques to get fights to the ground. On top she is quite strong, maintaining control and attacking subs. That is obviously a massive step up in competition by Invicta against Esparza, a real veteran. Carla is on a losing streak against fellow grapplers and hasn’t shown great takedown shield to coincide with her offensive wrestling abilities. She’d be best to try and keep this battle standing where her improved striking ought to have the ability to edge out volume.
Jandiroba isn’t shown at this level but looks like the real deal, demonstrating exceptional method and composure. Worst case situation Esparza is able to defend her off back and create scrambles to induce dramatic exchanges, taking us into a close choice. A better situation is Jandiroba dominating with her high control and procuring a unanimous conclusion or finding a submission. An Esparza end is very unlikely. Given the chances and respective paths to success, a shot on the newcomer at money is good price.
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